HomeDataThe fifteen testsTest 15: reply rate by first-message character count
Controlled test 15 of 15

Test 15: reply rate by first-message character count

2024 to 2025, twelve weeks. Reply rate by character count of the first message, and the curve has a clear peak.

Paul CassidyBy Paul Cassidy, founder of Prospectio.ai. Ex Google, Salesforce and Twilio sales leader. Updated 9 September 2026.
In short: 240 to 420 characters replied at 38.6 percent. Under 150 dropped to 21.4 percent because very short messages read as automated. Over 700 dropped to 11.2 percent because they do not get read.

The result

LengthReply rate
Under 15021.4%
150 to 24029.8%
240 to 42038.6%
420 to 70024.1%
Over 70011.2%

Sample

2024 to 2025, twelve weeks. Reply rate grouped by character count of the first message across mixed personas and company sizes.

Why it works

Both ends of the curve fail for opposite reasons. A very short message cannot contain anything specific, so it cannot prove a human wrote it, and the reader correctly identifies it as a template. A very long one proves a human wrote it and then asks for two minutes of attention that a stranger has not earned.

The middle band is the length at which you can name one specific thing, describe one problem and ask one question, and no more. That is not a coincidence: the winning structure in our copy test came out at almost exactly this length without anyone measuring it.

The practical value of the number is that it is checkable. Character count is the only element of a message you can verify before sending without judgement, which makes it a useful gate on a team where several people write.

How to apply it

Set 240 to 420 as a hard rule and check it on every message before it goes.

Note that LinkedIn caps a connection request note at 300 characters, which sits comfortably inside the band. If your note is at the cap you are in the right place.

If you cannot fit the message into 420 characters, the problem is usually that you are explaining your product. Delete that part rather than negotiating with the limit.

What this test does not tell you

Mixed personas and company sizes, so segment-level variation is hidden. This is grouped observational data rather than a randomised split, which means length correlates with other things: longer messages tend to contain more product detail, and that is separately penalised in the copy test. Both effects push the same way and we have not separated them.

Method

One variable at a time. A test alters a single element; if two things change we learn nothing. Prospects were split at random inside each client account, holding industry, geography, seniority and company size constant on both sides. No test was called below 2,000 prospects per arm, because outbound is noisy at low volume. Reply rate is reported as the leading indicator and meeting rate as the decision, because several variants lifted replies and produced no extra meetings at all, and those were not rolled out.

This test is one of fifteen in a dataset covering 389,890 prospects and 15,018 meetings across 41 client programmes and 17 clients, run between 2018 and 2026. The full set is on the 2026 outbound benchmarks page.

Cite this page as: Prospectio.ai, Test 15: reply rate by first-message character count, B2B Outbound Benchmarks 2026.

Frequently asked questions

How many characters should a cold LinkedIn message be?

Between 240 and 420. That band replied at 38.6 percent, against 29.8 percent for 150 to 240 characters, 24.1 percent for 420 to 700, and 11.2 percent for anything over 700.

Why do very short cold messages perform badly?

Under 150 characters replied at 21.4 percent, worse than the 240 to 420 band by 17 points. A very short message cannot contain anything specific enough to prove a human wrote it, so it reads as automated.

How reliable is this result?

Mixed personas and company sizes, so segment-level variation is hidden. This is grouped observational data rather than a randomised split, which means length correlates with other things: longer messages tend to contain more product detail, and that is separately penalised in the copy test. Both effects push the same way and we have not separated them.

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